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S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX:XJO) down: QBE Insurance Group (ASX:QBE) rallies on good guidance

Here’s today’s The Match Out report from Market Matters’ James Gerrish. Key point: the S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) finished down -0.76% to 6,987.60.

Markets @ MiddayListen here at lunchtime or find all Market Matters Podcasts on Spotify.

A poor session to kick off the new trading week with the ASX seeing the best of it early before broad-based selling took hold, pushing the main board ~70pts below the early highs, as ~65% of stocks lost ground.

  • The ASX 200 finished down -53pts/ -0.75% to 6987
  • The IT (+0.45%) was the only cohort to finish higher.
  • Property (-1.34%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.26%) and Materials (-1.13%) were weak.
  • QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) +2.22% rallied after saying it expects gross written premium growth of around 10% for FY23 (they are a Dec year-end).
  • IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) -3.32% fell after they defended the decision to appoint Ivan Vella as CEO after Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) sacked him a fortnight ago.
  • Adore Beauty Group Ltd (ASX: ABY) +19.25% rallied after its board rejected a cash offer of $1.25 to $1.30/sh from UK-based THG – both companies are online-facing beauty product retailers. Stock closed today at $1.115.
  • Healius Ltd (ASX: HLS) +2.31% rallied on news the Chair will not stand for re-election.
  • Catapult Group International Ltd (ASX: CAT) +11.89% had a great session, finally gaining the traction it deserved on their 1H result a couple of weeks ago – a stock we own in the Emerging Companies Portfolio.
  • Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) -0.53% is back testing lows at $3.76 – looks interesting, we covered it recently.
  • Another defensive name we like here is APA Group (APA) –you can read our recent thoughts here
  • Putting together some thoughts for a Market Matters Event this week- since the day the US 10-year yield hit its low at 0.5% on the 4th Aug 2020, our Active Growth Portfolio has outperformed by more than 4% pa, returning 13.8% pa since 4th August 2020.
  • Active seems to have the wood on passive as conditions toughen.
  • Iron ore fell, futures down 1.3% in Singapore to $US132/mt – Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) -2.08% the weakest of the majors, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) -1.46%.
  • Gold pushed higher, now trading US$2013/oz at our close. Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) +1.9% and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) +1.65% are the two sticks we hold in the Growth Portfolio.
  • Asian stocks were down, Hong Kong -0.87%, Japan -0.40% and China -0.70%.
  • US Futures weaker, S&P 500 (INDEXSP: .INX) -0.33%, Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ: .IXIC) -0.49%

S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) Index

S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) Index

QBE Insurance (QBE) $15.64

QBE +2.22%: the insurance group released a 3Q performance update which further highlighted the tailwinds playing out in the insurance sector.

Gross Written Premium (GWP) growth of 7% on the prior period and renewal rate increases of 9.6% in the quarter show the benefit of inflation on premiums.

Higher bond yields have also supported investment performance with the running yield at the end of the quarter at 5%, up from 4% at the end of the first half.

While claims have climbed with inflation, catastrophe events are expected to be lower in the second half thanks largely to a muted US Hurricane season.

As a result, QBE has maintained FY23 guidance and outlook comments, targeting a combined operating ratio of around 94.5% with GWP growth of 10% in constant currency terms.

QBE Insurance (QBE)

Broker Moves

  • Chrysos Corporation Ltd (ASX: C79) Rated New Buy at Bell Potter; PT A$8.70
  • Computershare Ltd (ASX: CPU) Reinstated Buy at Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS); PT A$27
  • Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM); PT A$2.75
  • Clover Corporation Ltd (ASX: CLV) Rated New Outperform at Taylor Collison

Major Movers Today

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*Active Income Portfolio FY 23 of 15.36% achieved between 01/07/22 to 30/06/23.

At the time of publishing, the author or their clients may have a financial interest in some of companies or securities mentioned.

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