In 2024, I’m looking at the COL share price

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price has increased 14.0% since the start of 2024. It's probably worth asking, 'is the COL share price priced to perfection?'
The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price has increased 14.0% since the start of 2024. The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) share price is 55% off its 52-week low.

COL share price in focus

Coles is an Australian retailer providing customers with everyday products including fresh food, groceries, general merchandise, liquor, fuel and financial services. It was founded in 1914 in Victoria which it still calls its home base.

Coles was formerly owned by conglomerate Wesfarmers from 2007 until 2018, when it was spun-off and listed as a separate entity on the ASX under the ticker symbol ‘COL’. Coles’ earnings are dominated by the supermarkets side of the business, however, it partly or fully owns or operates adjacent businesses like flybuys, Liquorland, First Choice, Vintage Cellars, Coles Express and more.

While Coles is in a way the ‘little brother’ to Woolworths, it still controls a significant share of the Australian grocery market (about 28%). In its short time as its own listed entity, Coles has established itself as a handy and reliable dividend payer.

WES shares

Founded in 1914, Wesfarmers is an Australian conglomerate headquartered in Perth. Its main operations span Australia and New Zealand and include retail, chemical, fertiliser, industrial and safety brands and products.

Wesfarmers is a bit like a publicly listed private equity company. It has a long history of buying businesses, benefitting from their cash flow, re-investing in them and then selling them for a more attractive price. A good example of this might be Coles Group, which it bought in 2007 and spun out in 2018. However, by far (over 50%) of the company’s operating profit comes from Bunnings, the #1 hardware and home improvement business in Australia. Wesfarmers originally invested in Bunnings in 1987, buying the final 52% in 1994 for $594 million.

Wesfarmers has long been considered a leading blue chip stock on the ASX and is known for paying a consistent dividend. Other household names owned by Wesfarmers include Blackwoods, Kmart, Target, Officeworks, and Priceline Pharmacy.

Share price valuation

One way to have a ‘quick read’ of where the COL share price is, is to study something like dividend yield through time. Remember, the dividend yield is effectively the ‘cash flow’ to a share holder, but it can fluctuate year-to-year or between payments. Currently, Coles Group Ltd shares have a dividend yield of around 3.58%, which compares to its 5-year average of 3.88%. Put simply, COL shares are trading below their historical average dividend yield.

Since it is a more mature-style business, the WES share price is offering a 12-month trailing dividend yield of around 2.55%, which compares to its 5-year average of 3.24%. The Rask websites, especially our Rask Education platform, offer free tutorials explaining Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). Both of these models would be a better way to value the WES share price.

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