The BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) share price is down -13.22% in 2024. Here are the key numbers to watch in 2025.
BHP share price in focus
BHP Group (formerly BHP Billiton) is a diversified natural resources company founded in 1885 that produces commodities for energy use and manufacturing, and is moving into fertilisers.
BHP’s principal business lines are mineral exploration and production. BHP’s assets, operations and interests are separated into three focus areas: copper and related minerals (e.g. gold, uranium, silver, zinc, etc.); iron ore; and coal (i.e. metallurgical and energy).
BHP shares are often seen as a reliable dividend-paying investment and are a common constituent of an ASX share portfolio. If you own a popular ETF or LIC, or invest with Industry Super, chances are you have some exposure to BHP shares already.
Let’s talk profits
Annual reports and income statements can be very complex and hard to get your head around as a new investor. While there are any number of figures you could pull from the income statement, three key ones are revenue, gross margin, and profit.
Revenue is sometimes referred to as the ‘top line’ – everything starts here. If you can’t generate revenue, you can’t generate profit. What we’re interested in is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. BHP last reported an annual revenue of $56,027m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of -0.7% per year.
Gross margin is the next big number on the income statement. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods? BHP’s latest reported gross margin was 82.3%.
Finally, the number we’re most interested in – profit. Last financial year BHP Group Ltd reported a profit of $7,897m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a profit of $11,304m, representing a CAGR of -11.3%.
Checking in on capital health
The next thing we need to consider is the capital health of the company. Is the company generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and do they have a decent safety buffer? One measure we can look at is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings.
In the case of BHP Group Ltd, the current net debt sits at $9,467m. High net debt can mean higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt – a good position to be in.
Another figure we can look at is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder equity. In other words, how leveraged is the company? BHP has a debt/equity ratio of 45.3%, which means they have more equity than debt.
Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is generating a lot of value for investors, while a low number raises concerns that capital isn’t necessarily being allocated efficiently. BHP generated an ROE of 19.7% in FY23.
What to make of BHP shares?
The high return on equity might suggest that BHP is a company worth watching, but I’d be wary of the negative trend in profit and revenue.
Please keep in mind this should only be the beginning of your research. It’s important to get a good grasp of the company’s financials and compare it to its peers. It’s also important to make sure the company is priced fairly. To learn more about share price valuation, you can sign up for one of our many free online investing courses.
