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Valuing the XRO share price

Want to value the Xero Ltd (ASX:XRO) share price? Here are 6 key metrics you need to consider.
The Xero Ltd (ASX:XRO) share price is up 30.50% in 2024. Let’s take a look at why you might want XRO shares on your watchlist.

XRO share price in focus

Xero was founded in 2006 in Wellington, New Zealand, by Rod Drury, who led the company until 2018. Employing more than 3,000 people, Xero helps millions of subscribers manage their accounting and tax obligations across the globe.

The cloud-based “beautiful accounting software” developed by Xero is primarily for accountants and bookkeepers to better service their small business customers.

Through Xero, small business owners and their advisors/accountants have access to real-time financial data and on any device. Xero provides its core cloud accounting software to customers in New Zealand, Australia, the UK and, to a lesser extent, the USA.

Let’s talk profits

If you’ve ever tried to read a company’s income statement on the annual report, you’ll know it can get pretty complex. While there are any number of figures you could pull from this statement, three key ones are revenue, gross margin, and profit.

Revenue is important for obvious reasons – everything starts here. If you can’t generate revenue, you can’t generate profit. What we’re concerned about is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. XRO last reported an annual revenue of $1,714m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of 26.4% per year.

Moving down the income statement, we then get to gross margin. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods or services? XRO’s latest reported gross margin was 88.2%.

Finally, we get to profit, arguably the most important figure. Last financial year Xero Ltd reported a profit of $175m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a loss of -$9m, so it’s positive to see how profits have recovered.

A pulse check on XRO shares

The next thing we need to consider is the capital ‘health’ of the company. What we’re trying to assess here is whether they’re generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and have a decent safety buffer. One measure we can look at is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings. In the case of XRO, the current net debt sits at -$306m.

A high number here means that a company has a lot of debt which potentially means higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt (a useful safety buffer).

Another figure we can look at is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder ownership. In other words, how leveraged is the company? XRO has a debt/equity ratio of 87.9%, which means they have more equity than debt.

Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is allocating capital well and generating value, while a low number suggests the profits might offer more value if they were paid to shareholders as a dividend. XRO generated an ROE of 14.3% in FY24.

What to make of XRO shares?

With strong revenue growth over the last 3 years, profits trending upwards, and a solid ROE, XRO shares could be worth adding to your ASX share price watchlist.

Please keep in mind this should only be the beginning of your research. It’s important to get a good grasp of the company’s financials and compare it to its peers. It’s also important to make sure the company is priced fairly. To learn more about share price valuation, you can sign up for one of our many free online investing courses.

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