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How you can value WES and DOW shares

The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) share price has risen 15.8% since the start of 2024. It's probably worth asking, 'is the WES share price top value?'
The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) share price has risen 15.8% since the start of 2024. The Downer EDI Ltd (ASX:DOW) share price is about 48.1% off its 52-week low.

WES share price in focus

Founded in 1914, Wesfarmers is an Australian conglomerate headquartered in Perth. Its main operations span Australia and New Zealand and include retail, chemical, fertiliser, industrial and safety brands and products.

Wesfarmers is a bit like a publicly listed private equity company. It has a long history of buying businesses, benefitting from their cash flow, re-investing in them and then selling them for a more attractive price. A good example of this might be Coles Group, which it bought in 2007 and spun out in 2018. However, by far (over 50%) of the company’s operating profit comes from Bunnings, the #1 hardware and home improvement business in Australia. Wesfarmers originally invested in Bunnings in 1987, buying the final 52% in 1994 for $594 million.

Wesfarmers has long been considered a leading blue chip stock on the ASX and is known for paying a consistent dividend. Other household names owned by Wesfarmers include Blackwoods, Kmart, Target, Officeworks, and Priceline Pharmacy.

DOW shares

Downer is the leading provider of integrated infrastructure services in Australia and New Zealand. They’re responsible for building, maintaining, and operating transit systems, utilities services, and public infrastructure.

While the name might not be familiar, you’ve definitely come across their work. Downer operate services like the Yarra Trams in Melbourne, and build the passenger trains you see in most states.

Downer separates its business into three main segments of Transport, Utilities, and Facilities. Transport delivers a little over 50% of their revenue, and Utilities and Facilities around 20% and 30% respectively.

WES share price valuation

One way to have a ‘fast read’ of where the WES share price is could be to study something like dividend yield through time. Remember, the dividend yield is effectively the ‘cash flow’ to a shareholder, but it can fluctuate year-to-year or between payments. Currently, Wesfarmers Ltd shares have a dividend yield of around 2.97%, compared to its 5-year average of 3.36%. Put simply, WES shares are trading below their historical average dividend yield. Be careful how you interpret this information though – it could mean that dividends have fallen, or that the share price is increasing, or both. In the case of WES, last year’s dividend was greater than the 3-year average, so the dividend has been growing.

DOW is offering a historical dividend yield of around 3.09%, which compares to its 5-year average of 3.74%.The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets. Both of these models would be a better way to value the DOW share price.”)

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