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Putting a value on Pro Medicus Limited (ASX:PME) shares

Want to value the Pro Medicus Limited (ASX:PME) share price? Here are 6 key metrics you need to consider.
The Pro Medicus Limited (ASX:PME) share price is up 103.32% in 2024. So, how can you put a value on the PME share price? Here are the key numbers.

PME share price in focus

Founded in 1983, Pro Medicus is a provider of radiology IT software for hospitals, imaging centres and health care groups worldwide.

The Pro Medicus suite of products centre around radiology information systems (RIS), Picture Archiving and Communication Systems (PACS), and advanced visualisation solutions. These products support everything from patient scheduling and billing to fast medical imaging interpretations and analysis.

The company’s value proposition partly lies within its flagship Visage software which allows radiologists to view large image files generated by X-rays remotely on mobile devices. This allows diagnostic decisions to be made on-the-go and ideally improves patient outcomes.

Let’s talk profits

If you’ve ever tried reading a company’s income statement on the annual report, you’ll know just how complex it can get. While there are any number of ways you could slice up the statement, three key figures are revenue, gross margin, and profit.

Revenue is important for obvious reasons – everything else (profit, margins, return on equity etc.) is downstream of a company’s ability to generate sales and revenue. What we’re looking for is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. PME last reported an annual revenue of $162m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of 33.4% per year.

The next thing we’ll want to consider is the gross margin. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods and services? PME’s latest reported gross margin was 99.8%.

Finally, we get to profit, the real headline number. Last financial year Pro Medicus Limited reported a profit of $83m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a profit of $31m, representing a CAGR of 39.0%.

A pulse check on PME shares

Next, we could consider the capital health of the company. What we’re trying to work out is whether the company is generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and whether they have a good safety buffer. One important measure to consider is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings.

In the case of PME, the current net debt sits at -$153m. A high number here means that a company has a lot of debt which potentially means higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt, which can be seen as good (a big safety buffer) or bad (inefficient capital allocation).

Another figure we can look at is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder ownership. In other words, how leveraged is the company? Pro Medicus Limited has a debt/equity ratio of 1.1%, which means they have more equity than debt.

Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is allocating capital efficiently and generating value, while a low number suggests that company growth may be starting to slow. PME generated an ROE of 50.7% in FY24.

What to make of PME shares?

As a growth company, one way to put a general prediction on the PME share price could be to compare its price-to-sales multiple over time. Currently, Pro Medicus Limited shares have a price-sales ratio of 126.69x, compared to its 5-year average of 82.69x, meaning its shares are trading higher than their historical average. This could mean that the share price has increased, or that sales have declined, or both. In the case of PME, revenue has been growing over the last 3 years. Please keep in mind that context is important – and this is just one valuation technique. Investment decisions can’t just be based on one metric.

The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets! Both of these models would be a better way to value the PME share price.

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