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A deep dive into COL shares

Is the Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price undervalued? Here are 3 reasons you might want to consider COL shares.
The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price is up 17.1% since the start of 2024. Let’s take a look at why investors might be interested in COL shares.

COL share price in focus

Coles is a leading Australian retailer providing everyday essentials including fresh food, groceries, general merchandise, liquor, fuel and financial services. It was founded in 1914 in Victoria and still calls Melbourne its home base.

Coles was formerly owned by the listed giant Wesfarmers from 2007 until 2018, when it was spun-off and listed as its own entity on the ASX under the ticker symbol ‘COL’. Coles’ earnings are unsurprisingly dominated by the supermarket side of the business, however, it partly or fully owns and operates adjacent businesses like flybuys, Liquorland, First Choice, Vintage Cellars, Coles Express and more.

While Coles is second to Woolworths in the supermarket sector, it still controls a significant share of the Australian grocery market (about 28%). Since its listing in 2018, Coles has established itself as fairly reliable dividend payer for investors seeking income.

The appeal of Consumer staples

The S&P/ASX200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ) has delivered returns of -1.44% per year over the last 5 years. That compares to the broader ASX 200 which has returned 4.69% per year over the same period. Let’s explore why a consumer staples company like COL could be a smart choice for your portfolio.

Big dividends

Consumer staples companies aren’t typically known for rapid growth, but where they excel is in providing consistent dividend income. Over the past 5 years, COL has offered an average dividend yield of 3.76% annually.

This steady payout is linked to the nature of their business, which brings us to the next reason investors favour consumer staples companies…

Resilience

No company or sector is totally immune to recessions, but consumer staples companies are often better equipped than others to weather economic downturns. When the economy hits tough times (which is inevitable), discretionary spending always takes the hit first. Demand for staples remains relatively stable in comparison. This resilience can give companies like COL a notable advantage over more cyclical secotrs during a downturn.

Lower volatility

Another key benefit of consumer staples companies is their lower market volatility. Because the demand for their products and services is consistent, these businesses are less subject to economic cycles than sectors like resources and commodities.

Companies like Woolworths or Coles also have high market share which tends to give them more pricing power, so they can act as a price maker instead of a price taker. So, consumer staples companies can bring some stability to a diversified portfolio.

COL share price valuation

One way to have a ‘fast read’ of where the COL share price is would be to study something like dividend yield through time. Remember, the dividend yield is effectively the ‘cash flow’ to a shareholder, but it can fluctuate year-to-year or between payments. Currently, Coles Group Ltd shares have a dividend yield of around 3.59%, compared to its 5-year average of 3.76%. Put simply, COL shares are trading below their historical average dividend yield.

Be careful how you interpret this information though – it could mean that dividends have fallen, or that the share price is increasing. In the case of COL, last year’s dividend was greater than the 3-year average, so the dividend has been growing.

The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets! Both of these models would be a better way to value the COL share price.

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