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Putting a value on the DOW share price

Want to value the Downer EDI Ltd (ASX:DOW) share price? Here are 6 key metrics you need to consider.
The Downer EDI Ltd (ASX:DOW) share price is up 20.63% in 2024. Let’s take a look at why you might want DOW shares on your watchlist.

DOW share price in focus

Downer is the leading provider of integrated infrastructure services in Australia and New Zealand. They’re responsible for building, maintaining, and operating transit systems, utilities services, and public infrastructure.

While the name might not be familiar, you’ve definitely come across their work. Downer operate services like the Yarra Trams in Melbourne, and build the passenger trains you see in most states.

Downer separates its business into three main segments of Transport, Utilities, and Facilities. Transport delivers a little over 50% of their revenue, and Utilities and Facilities around 20% and 30% respectively.

The key metrics

If you’ve ever tried to read a company’s income statement on the annual report, you’ll know it can get pretty complex. While there are any number of figures you could pull from this statement, three key ones are revenue, gross margin, and profit.

Revenue is important for obvious reasons – everything starts here. If you can’t generate revenue, you can’t generate profit. What we’re concerned about is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. DOW last reported an annual revenue of $10,980m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of -1.6% per year.

Moving down the income statement, we then get to gross margin. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods or services? DOW’s latest reported gross margin was 11.5%.

Finally, we get to profit, arguably the most important figure. Last financial year Downer EDI Ltd reported a profit of $56m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a profit of $176m, representing a CAGR of -31.7%.

Financial health of DOW shares

The next thing we need to consider is the capital ‘health’ of the company. What we’re trying to assess here is whether they’re generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and have a decent safety buffer. One measure we can look at is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings. In the case of DOW, the current net debt sits at $994m.

A high number here means that a company has a lot of debt which potentially means higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt (a useful safety buffer).

However, arguably more important is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder ownership. In other words, how leveraged is the company? DOW has a debt/equity ratio of 81.1%, which means they have more equity than debt.

Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is allocating capital well and generating value, while a low number suggests the profits might offer more value if they were paid to shareholders as a dividend. DOW generated an ROE of 3.6% in FY24.

What to make of DOW shares?

With revenue and profit trending downwards and low return on equity, DOW doesn’t look like the most inspiring pick, but it could still be worth digging deeper to understand their current situation and identify opportunities.

Please keep in mind this should only be the beginning of your research. It’s important to get a good grasp of the company’s financials and compare it to its peers. It’s also important to make sure the company is priced fairly. To learn more about share price valuation, you can sign up for one of our many free online investing courses.

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