WTC share price in focus
Founded in 1994 by Richard White and Maree Isaacs, Wisetech Global is a developer of cloud-based software used for international and domestic logistics industries.
Wisetech’s vast suite of software products is used across various logistics functions including forwarding & customs, landside transport, rates & contracts, warehousing, and transport management systems.
Their cornerstone software is called Cargowise. It’s become an industry-leading solution now used by all 25 of the largest global freight forwarders and 46 of the top 50 third-party logistics providers.
The key metrics
If you’ve ever tried reading a company’s income statement on the annual report, you’ll know just how complex it can get. While there are any number of ways you could slice up the statement, three key figures are revenue, gross margin, and profit.
Revenue is important for obvious reasons – everything else (profit, margins, return on equity etc.) is downstream of a company’s ability to generate sales and revenue. What we’re looking for is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. WTC last reported an annual revenue of $1,042m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of 27.1% per year.
The next thing we’ll want to consider is the gross margin. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods and services? WTC’s latest reported gross margin was 84.0%.
Finally, we get to profit, the real headline number. Last financial year WiseTech Global Ltd reported a profit of $263m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a profit of $108m, representing a CAGR of 34.5%.
Financial health of WTC shares
Next, we could consider the capital health of the company. What we’re trying to work out is whether the company is generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and whether they have a good safety buffer. One important measure to consider is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings.
In the case of WTC, the current net debt sits at -$19m. A high number here means that a company has a lot of debt which potentially means higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt, which can be seen as good (a big safety buffer) or bad (inefficient capital allocation).
A metric that might be more valuable to us is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder ownership. In other words, how leveraged is the company? WiseTech Global Ltd has a debt/equity ratio of 4.7%, which means they have more equity than debt.
Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is allocating capital efficiently and generating value, while a low number suggests that company growth may be starting to slow. WTC generated an ROE of 12.8% in FY24.
What to make of WTC shares?
As a growth company, one way to put a general prediction on the WTC share price could be to compare its price-to-sales multiple over time. Currently, WiseTech Global Ltd shares have a price-sales ratio of 27.13x, compared to its 5-year average of 31.86x, meaning its shares are trading below their historical average. This could mean that the share price has fallen, or sales have increased, or both. In the case of WTC, revenue has been growing over the last 3 years. Please keep in mind that context is important – and this is just one valuation technique. Investment decisions can’t just be based on one metric.
The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets! Both of these models would be a better way to value the WTC share price.
