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Coles Group Ltd and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) shares are 2 ASX shares to watch

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price has risen 10.3% since the start of 2024. It's probably worth asking, 'is the COL share price top value?'
The Coles Group Ltd (ASX:COL) share price has risen 10.3% since the start of 2024. The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) share price is about 9.2% off its 52-week low.

COL share price in focus

Coles is an Australian retailer providing customers with everyday products including fresh food, groceries, general merchandise, liquor, fuel and financial services. It was founded in 1914 in Victoria which it still calls its home base.

Coles was formerly owned by conglomerate Wesfarmers from 2007 until 2018, when it was spun-off and listed as a separate entity on the ASX under the ticker symbol ‘COL’. Coles’ earnings are dominated by the supermarkets side of the business, however, it partly or fully owns or operates adjacent businesses like flybuys, Liquorland, First Choice, Vintage Cellars, Coles Express and more.

While Coles is in a way the ‘little brother’ to Woolworths, it still controls a significant share of the Australian grocery market (about 28%). In its short time as its own listed entity, Coles has established itself as a handy and reliable dividend payer.

WOW shares

Founded in 1924, Woolworths is a retail operator in Australia and New Zealand with over 3,000 stores and over 100,000 employees. It is one of Australia’s largest companies in terms of revenue and market share.

Woolworths’ main operations include supermarkets (under the Woolworths brand in Australia and Countdown in New Zealand), retailing through its discount department stores under the Big W brand, and business-to-business (B2B) brands like PFD. However, its 35%+ market share of Australian groceries is undoubtedly its crown jewel.

Woolworths is a very popular choice for many ASX investors seeking dividend income. Historically, it has consistently paid a fully franked dividend, usually at a yield of over 3%, and offers a very defensive earnings stream with most revenue coming from consumer staples. Its competitive advantage is best summarised as scale (distribution, low costs, etc.) and proximity (most shoppers still shop based on distance to the supermarket).

COL share price valuation

One way to have a ‘fast read’ of where the COL share price is could be to study something like dividend yield through time. Remember, the dividend yield is effectively the ‘cash flow’ to a shareholder, but it can fluctuate year-to-year or between payments. Currently, Coles Group Ltd shares have a dividend yield of around 3.82%, compared to its 5-year average of 3.76%. Put simply, COL shares are trading above their historical average dividend yield. Be careful how you interpret this information though – it could mean that dividends are growing, or it could mean the share price is falling, or both. In the case of COL, last year’s dividend was greater than the 3-year average, so the dividend has been growing.

WOW is offering a historical dividend yield of around 4.38%, which compares to its 5-year average of 2.92%.The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets. Both of these models would be a better way to value the WOW share price.”)

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