WOW share price in focus
Founded in 1924, Woolworths is the leading supermarket operator in Australia and New Zealand with over 3,000 stores and over 100,000 employees. In terms of revenue and market share, it’s also one of Australia’s largest companies across any sector.
Besides the supermarket we all know (but don’t exactly love, according to consumer trust rankings), Woolworths Group also operates discount department stores under the Big W brand, as well as business-to-business (B2B) brands like PFD, which is a foodservice distributor. However, the 35%+ market share of Australian groceries is undoubtedly its crown jewel and leading revenue driver.
Woolworths has historically been a popular choice for ASX investors seeking dividend income due to its fully franked dividends, usually at a yield of over 3%. It also offers a ‘defensive’ earnings stream with most revenue coming from consumer staples. That means in an economic downturn, Woolworths might be less likely than other companies to see revenue decline significantly.
Let’s talk profits
If you’ve ever tried to read a company’s income statement on the annual report, you’ll know it can get pretty complex. While there are any number of figures you could pull from this statement, three key ones are revenue, gross margin, and profit.
Revenue is important for obvious reasons – everything starts here. If you can’t generate revenue, you can’t generate profit. What we’re concerned about is not so much the absolute number, but the trend. WOW last reported an annual revenue of $67,922m with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last 3 years of 6.8% per year.
Moving down the income statement, we then get to gross margin. The gross margin tells us how profitable the core products/services are – before you take into account all the overhead costs, how much money does the company make from selling $100 worth of goods or services? WOW’s latest reported gross margin was 56.0%.
Finally, we get to profit, arguably the most important figure. Last financial year Woolworths Group Ltd reported a profit of $1,711m. That compares to 3 years ago when they made a profit of $2,074m, representing a CAGR of -6.2%.
A pulse check on WOW shares
The next thing we need to consider is the capital ‘health’ of the company. What we’re trying to assess here is whether they’re generating a reasonable return on their equity (the total shareholder value) and have a decent safety buffer. One measure we can look at is net debt. This is simply the total debt minus the company’s cash holdings. In the case of WOW, the current net debt sits at $15,424m.
A high number here means that a company has a lot of debt which potentially means higher interest payments, greater instability, and higher sensitivity to interest rates. A negative value on the other hand indicates the company has more cash than debt (a useful safety buffer).
Another figure we can look at is the debt/equity percentage. This tells us how much debt the company has relative to shareholder ownership. In other words, how leveraged is the company? WOW has a debt/equity ratio of 300.2%, which means they have more debt than equity. This isn’t always a bad thing if the company has stable revenue and good cash flow, but it certainly creates more risk.
Finally, we can look at the return on equity (ROE). The ROE tells us how much profit a company is generating as a percentage of its total equity – high numbers indicate the company is allocating capital well and generating value, while a low number suggests the profits might offer more value if they were paid to shareholders as a dividend. WOW generated an ROE of 1.9% in FY24.
What to make of WOW shares?
With profit trending downwards, low revenue growth, and low return on equity, WOW shares don’t look like the most inspiring pick, but it could still be worth digging deeper to understand their current situation and identify opportunities.
Please keep in mind this should only be the beginning of your research. It’s important to get a good grasp of the company’s financials and compare it to its peers. It’s also important to make sure the company is priced fairly. To learn more about share price valuation, you can sign up for one of our many free online investing courses.
