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A deep dive into WOW shares

Is the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) share price undervalued? Here are 3 reasons you might want to consider WOW shares.
The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX:WOW) share price is down 19.5% since the start of 2024. Let’s take a look at why investors might be interested in WOW shares.

WOW share price in focus

Founded in 1924, Woolworths is the leading supermarket operator in Australia and New Zealand with over 3,000 stores and over 100,000 employees. In terms of revenue and market share, it’s also one of Australia’s largest companies across any sector.

Besides the supermarket we all know (but don’t exactly love, according to consumer trust rankings), Woolworths Group also operates discount department stores under the Big W brand, as well as business-to-business (B2B) brands like PFD, which is a foodservice distributor. However, the 35%+ market share of Australian groceries is undoubtedly its crown jewel and leading revenue driver.

Woolworths has historically been a popular choice for ASX investors seeking dividend income due to its fully franked dividends, usually at a yield of over 3%. It also offers a ‘defensive’ earnings stream with most revenue coming from consumer staples. That means in an economic downturn, Woolworths might be less likely than other companies to see revenue decline significantly.

The appeal of Consumer staples

The S&P/ASX200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ) has delivered returns of -1.89% per year over the last 5 years. That compares to the broader ASX 200 which has returned 4.68% per year over the same period. Let’s explore why a consumer staples company like WOW could be a smart choice for your portfolio.

Big dividends

Consumer staples companies aren’t typically known for rapid growth, but where they excel is in providing consistent dividend income. Over the past 5 years, WOW has offered an average dividend yield of 2.92% annually.

This steady payout is linked to the nature of their business, which brings us to the next reason investors favour consumer staples companies…

Resilience

No company or sector is totally immune to recessions, but consumer staples companies are often better equipped than others to weather economic downturns. When the economy hits tough times (which is inevitable), discretionary spending always takes the hit first. Demand for staples remains relatively stable in comparison. This resilience can give companies like WOW a notable advantage over more cyclical secotrs during a downturn.

Lower volatility

Another key benefit of consumer staples companies is their lower market volatility. Because the demand for their products and services is consistent, these businesses are less subject to economic cycles than sectors like resources and commodities.

Companies like Woolworths or Coles also have high market share which tends to give them more pricing power, so they can act as a price maker instead of a price taker. So, consumer staples companies can bring some stability to a diversified portfolio.

WOW share price valuation

One way to have a ‘fast read’ of where the WOW share price is would be to study something like dividend yield through time. Remember, the dividend yield is effectively the ‘cash flow’ to a shareholder, but it can fluctuate year-to-year or between payments. Currently, Woolworths Group Ltd shares have a dividend yield of around 4.77%, compared to its 5-year average of 2.92%. Put simply, WOW shares are trading above their historical average dividend yield.

Be careful how you interpret this information though – it could mean that dividends are growing, or it could mean the share price is falling. In the case of WOW, last year’s dividend was greater than the 3-year average, so the dividend has been growing.

The Rask websites offer free online investing courses, created by analysts explaining things like Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Models (DDM). They even include free valuation spreadsheets! Both of these models would be a better way to value the WOW share price.

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